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CFP: Losing by Winning
Another unintended consequence of the playoff: Georgia and Oregon would have been better off losing their conference championship matchups.
Dec 9, 2024
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J.T. Wolohan
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CFP: Losing by Winning
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Information Gain and College Football
Examples of how college football flexible scheduling can generate more information for playoff seeding.
Dec 5, 2024
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J.T. Wolohan
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Information Gain and College Football
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November 2024
The Underwhelming 12-Team Playoff
College Football used to have the most exciting and controversial regular season in all of sports.
Nov 28, 2024
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J.T. Wolohan
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The Underwhelming 12-Team Playoff
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How does the public bet?
Poorly. Part 2 of a series on the algebra of betting.
Nov 14, 2024
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J.T. Wolohan
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How does the public bet?
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Who's Line is It Anyways?
Part 1 of a series on the algebra of bookmaking, lines, and sharp betting.
Nov 7, 2024
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J.T. Wolohan
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Who's Line is It Anyways?
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October 2024
The Numbers or Your Lyin' Eyes?
What numbers should you trust in a somewhat status quo, somewhat surprising 2024 NFL season? And how should you be fading the Chiefs to the bank?
Oct 31, 2024
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J.T. Wolohan
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The Numbers or Your Lyin' Eyes?
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September 2024
P(100) Changes and Start of Year QB Rankings
Modifying our signature QB metric and introducing another to kick off the year. Plus some picks.
Sep 12, 2024
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J.T. Wolohan
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P(100) Changes and Start of Year QB Rankings
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Baseball and Soccer Should Switch Formats
How the fundamentals of baseball and soccer differ, and how each league can learn from the other.
Sep 5, 2024
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J.T. Wolohan
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Baseball and Soccer Should Switch Formats
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Introducing Decoding Defense: A Series
Football has gotten increasingly offense-centric.
Sep 3, 2024
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J.T. Wolohan
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Introducing Decoding Defense: A Series
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August 2024
Eleven Curious Quarterbacks
Brock Purdy, Aaron Rodgers, and Jordan Love are among our most interesting quarterback storylines of the year. Patrick Mahomes is not.
Aug 29, 2024
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J.T. Wolohan
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Eleven Curious Quarterbacks
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Measuring Greatness at the Olympics
Why do track stars, swimmers and gymnasts always seem like the "greatest" athletes, and how hard is it to be great in various sports?
Aug 8, 2024
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J.T. Wolohan
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Measuring Greatness at the Olympics
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May 2024
Enter Ant Man
What does Anthony Edwards mean for our basketball predictions? And how are we doing at predicting the NBA playoffs?
May 24, 2024
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J.T. Wolohan
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Enter Ant Man
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